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Predictions for 2010

It is the time of year when market pundits offer predictions for how the coming year will pan out. Such forecasts should always be taken with large grain of salt, given the dynamic nature of markets and the inherent unpredictability of the future. Moreover, successful investing requires flexibility, humility and openness to a range of possible outcomes. This mindset is particularly important in the present environment, given more ...

Last Plane Out - Offshore Asset Protection

First, let's define a "last plane out" account -- an offshore stash that would allow its owner to catch the last plane out of an imploding country and still be able to live well in exile.

Americans have joined Europeans worried about everything from rising taxes to hyperinflation to capital controls. Such similar experiences come from our ancestors who fled 19th and 20th century chaos and came to America in search of opportunity more ...

4th Quarter Economic and Market Outlook

recovery, interest rates, inflation, Muni bonds, global perspective & more

Here is our monthly perspective on events and trends affecting the economy, the financial markets, and investment management. First, let's take a look at an interesting chart and commentary from Morgan Stanley's chief European market strategist, Mr. Teun Draaisma, as to how much further the stock market could rally. We'll take a more ...

Dog Days of August

Last Friday (August 14th), investors received news that the University of Michigan/Reuters Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 63.2 from 66.0 in July. The expectation was for a gain to 69.0. Surprise! This number likely caused our drop that day. Stocks turned in a very summer performance last week, shifting on an almost daily basis based on news. The recent upward trend is still in force, but it is starting to lose momentum. One more ...

Real Estate Performance - 1st Half of 2009

US real estate has been the worst performing asset class so far this year. Despite signs the worst may be behind us, US real estate has yet to mount a serious recovery, adding to already steep losses in the first half of the year. Even as home prices are finally beginning to stabilize in many key markets, most real estate investment trusts or REITs have continued their downward trends. The reason? While residential real more ...

How Did Various Asset Classes Perform through July?

Here, I show you various charts of multiple asset classes. Take my thoughts to heed and actively implement broader diversification into your portfolios.

Key:

Dow Jones Ind = Dow Jones Industrial Average (US large stock index)

S&P 500 = S&P 500 (US large stock index)

NASDAQ = NASDAQ (US mid-large stock index, no financials)

Russell 2000 = Russell 2000 more ...

Debunking the 60/40 Asset Allocation Approach

I remember an advertisement in the 1980's with GM trying to rekindle the Oldsmobile brand but proclaiming that "It's not your father's Oldsmobile." It obviously didn't work, and in 2004 the last Olds rolled off the assembly line. In a similar vein, the tried-and-true static asset allocation that has been preached for ages of having your investments allocated 60% to stocks (equities) and 40% to bonds (fixed income) has gone the way of Oldsmobile or for that matter, GM.

Well, I think more ...

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